Don’t Wait for the FED on Jan 30th to Refi–It May Cost You

Since I’ve been saying this over and over again this past week…I thought I might as well blog it too.   PLEASE DON’T WAIT UNTIL WEDNESDAY TO REFI OR LOCK YOUR RATE.   When the FOMC moves the Fed Funds Rate, it does not directly change mortgage rates.  If you have a HELOC (home equity line of credit), when the Fed Funds rate is adjusted your heloc is impacted because the Prime Rate is based on the Fed Funds Rate (Prime Rate = 3 percent plus the Fed Funds Rate).

Mortgage rates may react to the adjustments made to the Fed Funds Rate.  Mortgage rates are not controlled by the Fed.  Mortgage interest rates are based on mortgage backed securities (bonds).  Mortgage interest rates may change often…sometimes several times a day based on trading. 

Often times, if the stock market is doing great, bonds will suffer because investors are pulling funds out of bonds to gain a better return in the stock market.  Therefore, mortgage rates go up in order to attract investors back with a better return.  The reverse is also true.  If the stock market is tanking, investors may seek the safety of bonds, like mortgage backed securities. The result is that mortgage rates will improve as more traders seek their shelter.

Much of trading is based on speculation.  Currently (at least the last report I heard today) traders are anticipating anywhere from a 0.25% – 0.50% cut to the Fed Funds rate on Wednesday.  Again, good news for those of you have a HELOC…not so, perhaps, for those who have not locked in your interest rate and are hoping to close in the next 30-40 days.   When things happen in the market that are not expected (like when the FOMC made the surprise 0.75% cut to the Fed Funds Rate), the market (traders) reacts dramatically for better or worse.   A cut to the Fed Funds rate is all ready priced into the market.  Traders expect it.  If the Fed does not cut 0.25 – 0.50% we will see more volatility with mortgage rates.  (We may have swings in trading whether the FED cuts 0.25% or 0.50% because different "trader camps" are expecting one or the other).      

Wednesday of last week, rates were at a low we haven’t seen in years and by the next day, we had popped up 0.5% to rate!  Lenders were inundated with people wanting to refi and many were not able to do so.  I heard from several home owners that they think rates will go down further or that a well-meaning friend thinks this or that with rates.   Please learn as much as you can about how mortgage backed securities work and/or rely on a Mortgage Professional to help guide you through these historic times in the mortgage industry.

This week is heavy duty for data that impacts mortgage interest rates.  Ask your mortgage advisor (who ever you’re getting mortgage advice from: a Loan Originator, CPA, friend, family or co-worker) what major events are scheduled to take place this week that may impact mortgage rates?  If they can’t answer, should you rely on them for mortgage advice?   

Here’s a clue to the answer.

Graph courtesy of Loan Tool Box.   

Picking your next mortgage by rate shopping? You might as well be playing Liar’s Poker.

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Rate shopping to select who will be assisting you with your next mortgage is similar to playing “liars poker”.  The Loan Originator who is the most successful at bluffing wins.  The fact is, unless you’re locking in the rate at the moment you’re shopping, you don’t have that rate.  It’s a rate quote–that’s all. Mortgage rates change throughout the day.  They are based on mortgage backed securities: bonds.   Some lenders I work with offer “live pricing” and others issue rate sheets; sometimes we can have several rate sheets offered by a lender during one day.

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It’s B Day…Big Ben decides to…

Wow!  Cut the Fed Funds to 4.75% and the Discount Rates to 5.25%; a reduction of 0.50% EACH.   Ben is showing Greenspan (who’s been very active promoting his new book) that he has his own moves.

"Economic growth was moderate during the first half of the year, but the tightening of credit conditions has the potential to intensify the housing correction and to restrain economic growth more generally."

More info to follow soon on how this will impact mortgage interest rates in the near future.   Will this send inflation shock waves?  Will traders seek bonds for safety?   

Today, if you have a home equity line of credit, your interest rate reduced by 0.50%.   Prime rate is now 7.75%.

Stay tuned.

Read the entire press release here.

Are You Preapproved for an Interest Only Mortgage?

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You better double check with your Mortgage Professional.  As of Sunday, July 22, 2007 underwriting guidelines are tightening up for interest only conventional (loan amounts $417,000 and lower) mortgages.

  • Fixed Rate Mortgages (ex. 30 year fixed with 10 year interest only payments) will be based on the full PITI payment using the Note Rate.  (If there is a temporary buy down, the qualifying is still based on the Note Rate).
  • Interest Only ARMs:  Qualifying is based on the full principal and interest payment (PITI) at the fully indexed rate (index + margin).
  • Negative Am. (deferred interest) ARMs:  Qualifying will be based on the full PITI at the fully indexed rate amortized over the full repayment term using the loan amount based on the amortization cap.   (I am not a fan of Option ARMs and I have never provided one to any of my clients.  For some people, they have probably been very successful tools…most of my clients, once they understood how the mortgage works, would opt for an interest only ARM instead of this mortgage).

So what does this mean?

Previous Guidelines:  If a buyer was preapproved using a 5/1 Interest Only LIBOR ARM based on an interest rate of 6.125% (note: this is NOT a rate quote and is only for purpose of illustrating the guideline changes) earlier this week qualified for a payment in the amount of $2041 (plus taxes and insurance), they could borrow $400,000.

New Guidelines:  The current index for LIBOR is 5.4 plus the margin of 2.375% for this particle loan program = a fully indexed rate of 7.775% for the same ARM mentioned above.   Qualifying the borrower for a $2041 payment based on a 30 year amortization at 7.775% means the borrower now qualifies for a loan amount of $284,200.

This will obviously have a dramatic impact on purchases and refinancing out of interest only products.   This is still very new and we’ll see if non-conforming products follow suit.

Here’s what you need to do:

  1. Agents:  Contact your Mortgage Professional today to see if you have clients who are preapproved for conventional financing with any interest only payments.   Confirm your buyer is still qualified.  (Your LO may need to check Fannie Mae guidelines).
  2. Buyers/Borrowers:  If you’re using interest only products with loan amounts of $417,000 or less, contact your Mortgage Professional to verify you are still approved.
  3. Buyers:  Now more than ever, it’s crucial that you meet with a Mortgage Professional prior to buying a home to become preapproved.   With mortgage programs and underwriting “tightening”, there will be less options compared to just a few months ago.
  4. Buyers/Borrowers:  Having solid credit is also more important.   You should review your credit a couple times a year.  If your scores are below 680, work on improving your credit.
  5. Borrowers who currently have ARMs:  Do not wait until just before your ARM is about to adjust if you are considering retaining your home.   Contact your Mortgage Professional six months in advance to review your credit in case you need to make adjustments and/or repairs.

This is not the time to be hiding or not dealing with your mortgage…guidelines are changing quickly and you need to be proactive and responsible with your largest investment.   If you need help, find a qualified Mortgage Professional such as a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist, who has been acquired additional training and education or get a referral from someone you trust and respect.

What will mortgage interest rates be in October?

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Who knows…it could be a trick or a treat!  This is a question asked earlier this week  from one of my past clients.   She has a friend who is buying a home that is new construction.   The builder has "encouraged" her friend to use their preferred lender by offering $5,000 towards closing costs.  The builder’s lender is refusing to quote rates, which unless they’re locking for 120 days or more…the rates they quote are useless.  Technically, if the LO has taken a loan application, they are required to provide a Good Faith Estimate within 3 days.

Lenders do offer 120 day locks.   There may be a non-refundable upfront fee and the rate is the higher (the longer the term of the lock, the higher the rate or cost for that rate will be).   If rates are lower in October than they are today for a 120 day lock, you’ve lost your upfront fee.   Even if you decide not to close on that property, that fee is gone.    Not to mention, 9 times out of 10, builders take longer than they anticipate to complete construction of the home.    At this point, they’re just pouring the foundation. The LO knows the buyer cannot or will not lock that rate yet.

I should add that this home buyer is well qualifed so being preapproved is not an issue.   I don’t advise getting preapproved from a Mortgage Professional and then ditching them over 0.125% in interest rate.   It’s very possible that the builder may require you to get preapproved from their lender even if you’re seeking financing elsewhere, in this case, I wouldn’t feel too badly about shopping them.   It’s not your fault you’re being forced to provide your financial information to a lender who’s shacked up with a builder.

My advice to my past client’s friend is to:

  • Request a Good Faith Estimate based on a 30 day quote just to see for the heck of it what the LO would disclose for fees associated with the rate.
  • Compare other lenders using the same scenario to get an idea of what the builder’s lender fees are compared to other lenders offering the same rate.
  • When the construction is closer to 60 days out, obtain updated GFEs.  At that point, you’re in a good position to lock in  your rate.   
  • It doesn’t hurt to ask!  The $5,000 credit may be legit or built into the rate.  It was probably all ready factored into the sales price of the home, however it’s too late to negotiate that once the purchase and sale agreement has been signed and some builders will not budge.   Should you want to work with your lender vs. the builder’s lender, there is no reason why your agent cannot submit an offer asking for the same credit.   

Rescuing Homebuyers from Lending Tree

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I have a couple of clients who did not feel like “winners” having banks compete for them via Lending Tree.  Recently, I helped a family by closing their purchase in 5 days…the lender they obtained from Lending Tree did not perform after having their loan for over 30 days.   Here are a few nice words from my new clients:

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Why is my rate quote higher than what is on the internet?

mortgageporter-thinkingEDITORS NOTE: This post was written prior to the regulations in 2010 which require a Good Faith Estimate to be delivered upon application. Please be sure to WHEN a post was written when reading a mortgage blog as regulations and guidelines are subject to change.

This is a question I just received from a gentleman who is considering a low down payment mortgage, such as a VA loan or USDA rural mortgage.

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Mortgage Interest Rate Locks 101

EDITORS NOTE: With changes to the 2010 Good Faith Estimate, a lot of the information below is no longer relevant (relating to the GFE). However, the pricing is still a good example of how locks work.

I love it when I’m asked an excellent question from a potential client. This person Mpj040062600001_2 is still shopping for his next home and who the lender will be to provide financing.   At this point, I have provided several good faith estimates and a total costs analysis to compare possible scenarios side by side along with how the mortgages may be working for him in 5 and 10 years. 

Here are a few of his questions:

What level of guarantee can you offer me with these rates you have provided on the Good Faith Estimates?

Until your loan is “locked” the interest rates on the Good Faith Estimate (GFE) is simply a reflection of what the rate is at the moment the Loan Originator prepared the GFE.   In fact it’s possible that the rate may have changed just moments after the GFE was provided to the client.   Mortgage interest rates can change throughout the day.   The GFE is not a guarantee of the mortgage interest rate, costs or that one is qualified or approved for a loan program.  (I have addressed guarantees towards the of this post).

Can I lock in my rates and closing costs before I find my new home?

Typically, the buyer has a signed around (agreed to) purchase and sale agreement.   Most locks require a property address along with the borrowers full legal name, social security number, program type, purchase price/loan amount and credit scores along with the length of time required to close the transaction.   

Some lenders, like Mortgage Master, have a “lock and look” feature which does allow buyers to lock their interest rate before finding their next home.   Unless the market is experience ramped rate increases, I recommend not doing this.   The locks are for longer terms (so they are more expensive) and should rates improve, odds are the buyer is not going to want the long term rate they’ve committed to with the lock.

How long is the lock period?

Locks have various time periods that are available to accommodate a borrowers needs.   The most common for a purchase is a 30 or 45 day lock.   Again, loans are locked in based on how many days are needed to accommodate the transaction closing date.   The longer the lock period, the higher the costs is for a specific rate.

For example, here is what the difference in fee may look like based on various lock times assuming the 30 day lock is par or neutral (comparing the other locks to 30 days):

  • 15 day lock = 0.125 better over the 30 day price
  • 30 day lock = 0
  • 45 day lock = 0.05 cost over the 30 day price
  • 60 day lock = 0.150 cost over the 30 day price
  • 70 day lock = 0.270 cost over the 30 day price
  • 90 day lock = 0.400 cost over the 30 day price (may have to pay additional upfront lock fee for this long of term)

So if you have a loan amount of $400,000 and a closing date that was just shy of two months away, and you want to have the 30 day rate, the cost may be $600 (400k x 0.15).    If you have a longer closing, a Mortgage Professional should advise you of your options of locking now or waiting until  your close date is more near and what the risk are (rates changing).    At 70 and 90 days, instead of paying an increased cost for the 30 day rate, you could also opt for a slightly higher rate (0.125%) and still have the 30 day pricing (it would be factored into the rate).   Again, the above numbers are just an example of possible pricing.   Rates and pricing do change constantly.

You can lock 90 days and beyond.   However, the cost increased (as you can see from my figures above) and there is often an additional upfront lock fee that is non-refundable.   

Click here for your rate quote for homes located in Washington.

It’s important that the loan is locked in for the right amount of time.   If a loan doesMag7winner_4  not close before the lock expiration date, the lender is put in a position to where they may need to extend the lock. The price of a lock extension varies from lender to lender and, if the market has improved from when the loan was originally locked, there may not be a cost for a shorter extension.    Some lenders charge 0.015 per day of the extension; so if 10 more days were required to close and fund the loan, the cost could be 0.15% (0.015 x 10 days) of the loan amount.   On a $400,000 loan amount, this is an additional cost of $600.   You can see why it’s important to lock your loan correctly in the first place.

I recommend that when you lock in  your loan, you ask your Mortgage Professional to guarantee the closing costs associated with the loan.   Third party costs, such as the appraisal title and escrow fees, the Mortgage Professional has no control over.   I would not work with any Loan Originator who is not willing to stand by their closing costs.   As a borrower, you should be able to bring your Good Faith Estimate with you to closing (your signing appointment) and have the lender’s fees be reasonable close.   

Once you have locked in your loan, you should receive:

  1. Written lock confirmation stating what the rate and points are associated with that rate.
  2. Request an updated Good Faith Estimate (and ask the lender if they are going to guarantee their loan costs) to correspond with the lock.  [2010 UPDATE:  You may find that mortgage originators will provide a written rate quote prior to providing a Good Faith Estimate with an actual Good Faith Estimate to follow.]

What ever you do, please do not select the person who will be assisting you with your largest investment (your mortgage) by interest rate alone.

If you would like a mortgage interest rate quote for your home located anywhere in Washington, click here.