Surprise! It’s a strong Jobs Report

May’s Jobs Report came in much better than expected this morning with 2.51 million jobs ADDED vs the anticipated the 8.5 million jobs lost. Personally, this sounds too good to be true to me and I’m thinking that we’ll see corrections in the months to come…of course, I hope I’m wrong and that an economic (and health) recovery is here.

From Market Watch:

“The biggest payroll surprise in history, by a gigantic margin, likely is due to a wave of hidden rehiring. Businesses which let people go in large numbers in March didn’t need to post their intention to bring people back on. Indeed, they just needed to call/text/email. Still, it’s a mystery why ADP didn’t pick this up, and it contradicts the continuing claims numbers, up 3 million between the April and May survey weeks. One possibility is that many people let go during the lockdowns didn’t make a recorded unemployment claim, either because they thought they would not qualify, or because their filing was caught up in backlogs.” —Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomic.

As I write this (7:53 am PST on June 5, 2020), the Dow is up 800 points. Good news for the stock markets and a surprisingly strong Jobs Report tend to negatively impact mortgage rates. I just repriced a refinance scenario for one of my clients that I quoted last night and the same scenario will now cost 0.25% more in points/fee. For example, if the loan amount is $400,000, it now cost $1,000 more in discount points for the same rate (as I write this post). Mortgage rates change constantly throughout the day and may change by the time I publish this post!

This chart is from Freddie Mac’s Prime Market Mortgage Survey, a weekly report that shows average mortgage rates from last week. NOTE: For current mortgage rates for your home located in Washington state, click here. This illustrates that last week rates bumped slightly higher, however are still VERY LOW.

 

Bottom line, if you have not yet refinanced, I highly recommend that you start a loan application asap. Part of the reason why mortgage rates are near the lowest in 50 years is because of what our economy has been going through due to the pandemic. Once we see real recovery and/or if we see inflation, mortgage rates will most likely trend higher.

If your home is located anywhere in Washington state, I can help you! Click here to start the refinance process or here to get a mortgage rate quote. A majority of the home owners I’m helping with refinances have not needed appraisals, depending on the loan programs and how strong their application is and many are dramatically dropping their mortgage payments. Please don’t miss out on this opportunity!

 

How to Grab a Low Mortgage Rate in a Volatile Market

Lately I’ve felt like I’m sitting in the front row of a roller coaster with the wild swings in mortgage interest rates. Mortgage rates have been at 50 year lows this past week – the lowest levels since Freddie Mac started keeping track with their weekly mortgage survey. This is largely due to fears in the market caused by the coronavirus. The Dow has been taking wild plunges, then will rally only to dip again. Mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities) and when investors are pulling funds from stocks, they will often seek the safety of bonds. We’ve seen that this past week when rates dropped to the lowest levels I have seen in my 20 year career as a Mortgage Professional. We are in uncharted territory. [Read more…]

Market Volatility and Lower Mortgage Rates

Freddie Mac’s PMMS report shows that mortgage interest rates have dropped this week largely due to the market volatility with the on again off again trade war with China.

[Read more…]

Greater Seattle’s Shifting Real Estate Market

You’ve probably heard that the Seattle’s sizzling real estate market has cooled a bit with home prices starting to come down. This is great news for folks who have grown weary battling in bidding wars only to have their offers rejected time after time. It looks like, at least right now, things may be returning to be more “normal”. [Read more…]

How does economic news impact mortgage interest rates?

Mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities) and are traded fairly similar as stocks. Investors tend to favor stocks over bonds as stocks tend to provide a better return. However, investors will opt for bonds over stocks when they are seeking safety when markets are tumultuous.  When the stock market is on a run, odds are mortgage rates may be moving higher as investors are selecting stocks over bonds. And when the stock market is tanking, mortgage rates tend to improve for the same reason. [Read more…]

What may impact mortgage rates this week

This week is packed with economic indicators that may impact the direction of mortgage interest rates, which have been nudging higher. Mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities or “MBS”).  When the stock market is doing well, it’s not unusual to see mortgage rates trend higher as investors will trade the safety of bonds for the potentially higher return found with stocks. The reverse tends to also hold true – if stocks are tumbling, mortgage rates often improve as investments are moved to bonds. Signs of inflation will also deteriorate bond pricing and cause mortgage rates to move higher. [Read more…]

Higher Property Taxes Impacts Everyone

If you live in King, Pierce, Snohomish or many other Washington state counties, you have some sticker shock when you see your 2018 property taxes.  King County is reporting that the average home will see their taxes increase by 17%.  The City of Sumner in Pierce County may see a whopping 22% jump to their property tax. [Read more…]

Freddie Mac reports interest rates at their highest of 2017

Today Freddie Mac released their Prime Mortgage Market Survey which basically shows an average of conforming rates for the previous week. The report shows mortgage rates at their highest for 2017 with the 30 year fixed rate at 4.21% priced with a half point. 

[Read more…]