8:15 a.m. Today around 11:00 am PST, we’ll have the decision from the FOMC on whether they are making any adjustments to the federal funds interest rate. Odds are very strong (99.5% per the CME Group) that there will be no change at this meeting. This is what the markets are anticipating. If the Fed surprises us, then markets will react dramatically. The Fed’s actions and market reactions are what may impact mortgage rates today as mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage-backed securities). The Fed does not directly control mortgage interest rates.
Following the Fed announcement today, Fed Chair Powell will hold a press conference. What he says (or what the market interprets from his press conference) may also impact the direction of mortgage interest rates. The markets are watching for signs that inflation is cooling (good for mortgage rates) or if inflation is being stubborn (bad for mortgage rates).
Right now, MBS 30 year is pretty flat (down 4 basis points). [Read more…]
Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released their monthly updated forecast for mortgage rates through 2025. This June update no longer shows predicted rates for the 30-year fixed conforming to hit the 5% range. MBA, who tends to be the most optimistic, forecasts that in the 4th quarter of 2025, we’ll see 6.0% for a rate with the homes of 5.8% in 2026.
The Existing Home Sales was released yesterday which reports on the closings of existing single-unit homes.
If you have been finding the current lack of inventory a challenge, you may want to consider a renovation mortgage. A renovation mortgage (or rehab loan) allows you to finance improvements to the property beyond the sales price of the home. The renovations begin after closing and there are no restrictions on the types of improvements. You can even use this on your existing home as a refinance if you love your location and neighbors and just want to make changes to your home. 
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