- Wednesday, August 13: Retail Sales
- Thursday, August 14: Initial Jobless Claims
- Friday, August 15: Producer Price Index; Empire State Index; Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM)
I hope you’re enjoying your summer. Can you believe that it’s already August? Tomorrow, August 5, 2014, is Seattle Night Out (actually, National Night Out) and many neighborhoods will be getting to know each better over block parties and/or pot luck dinners during this annual crime prevention event. This is a great excuse to get to know your neighbors better so if you don’t have anything planned tomorrow, why not knock on a few doors and have an impromptu pot luck?
Photo: Our puppy, Hitch, having fun with one of his neighbors, Sadie.
This week is packed full of economic indicators that may influence mortgage interest rates, including the Fed meeting on Wednesday and Jobs Report on Friday. The Jobs Report carries a lot of weight with mortgage rates as it may indicate inflation. As the economy and employment improves, we may see signs of wage inflation. Inflation is the arch enemy of bonds, like mortgage backed securities – which mortgage rates are based on. World tensions may also impact mortgage rates as investors may seek the safety found in bonds.
This week’s calendar may seem on the lighter side with regards to economic indicators scheduled to be released. There are no economic indicator scheduled to be released this week. On Wednesday, the FOMC Minutes are scheduled to be released and this probably has the potential to influence the direction of mortgage interest rates. Remember, mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities) and often move in the opposite direction of stocks.
Mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities) and often fluctuate throughout the day depending on activity in the markets. Often times when the stock market is taking a hit, we’ll see mortgage rates improve as investors will trade seek the safety of bonds. World events, like what is taking place in Crimea, may impact mortgage rates, as will the Fed’s bond buying program and economic data that is scheduled to be released. Here are some of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week:
Last week mortgage interest rates improved thanks to Janet Yellen indicating at her confirmation hearing that as our next Fed head, she will continue on with QE and support the Fed’s actions of buying mortgage backed securities to keep mortgage interest rates artificially low. This was sweet news to the markets and we’re still seeing lower mortgage rates this morning.