Will this week bring tricks or treats with mortgage rates? The stage is set to be another volatile week for mortgage rates with scheduled economic events/indicators. The Fed is expected to retire QE3 this week, in which they were buying bonds and treasuries to keep mortgage interest rates at artificial low levels. In addition, the economic issues taking place in Europe and other uncertainties in the world, just adds to the drama we may see play out with mortgage rates.
Last week, when mortgage rates for the 30 year fixed dipped below 4%, we saw many home owners jumping at the chance to refinance. Mortgage interest rates were very volatile last week, following the roller coaster ride of the stock market. It was reported we had about 10 different price changes in just one day. The only way you can make sure that you lock in a low rate is to…well…lock it! This basically means that you have provided the lender with an application and have decided on your mortgage program.
Last Friday’s Jobs Report came in better than expected and mortgage rates ticked up a little higher on Friday but are still in a tight range and essentially unchanged compared to last Monday’s rate post (slightly improved). There’s not a lot on the dance card this week for scheduled events that may impact the direction of mortgage interest rates this week. Watch for the Fed Minutes on Wednesday, which has stronger odds of moving mortgage rates. Since this week’s calendar is so light, I’m adding a couple items that will not impact rates…but are eventful!
This week is packed with economic data that may influence the direction of mortgage rates wrapping up with the Jobs Report on Friday. Mortgage rates will also react to world tensions, such as what’s taking place in the Middle East. This is because mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities) and investors often seek the safety of bonds over the potentially higher return found with stocks. Stocks are taking a hit this morning and mortgage backed securities are improved.Here are some of the economic indicators that are scheduled to be released this week:
This week is packed full of economic indicators that may influence mortgage interest rates, including the Fed meeting on Wednesday and Jobs Report on Friday. The Jobs Report carries a lot of weight with mortgage rates as it may indicate inflation. As the economy and employment improves, we may see signs of wage inflation. Inflation is the arch enemy of bonds, like mortgage backed securities – which mortgage rates are based on. World tensions may also impact mortgage rates as investors may seek the safety found in bonds.
Mortgage rates are based on mortgage backed securities (bonds) and often change throughout the day. Since they are based on bonds, mortgage rates will often improve when the stock markets are deteriorating as investors will trade the safety of bonds for the potential greater return found with stocks. The reverse is also true. World events as well as scheduled economic indicators may impact the direction of mortgage interest rates. Watch for signs of inflation, which erodes the value of bonds and therefore, causes mortgage rates to trend higher.