Mortgage rate update for the week of February 18, 2013

The stock and bond markets are closed today in observance of President’s Day. Here are a few of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week.

Wed. February 20: Building Permits; Producer Price Index (PPI); Housing Starts; FOMC Minutes released

Thurs. February 21: Consumer Price Index (CPI); Initial Jobless Claims; Philadelphia Fed Index; Existing Home Sales

Watch for signs of inflation from the PPI or CPI, which tends to drive mortgage rates higher. Wall Street will also be paying close attention to the FOMC minutes.

Happy President’s Day!

Mortgage rate update for the week of January 28, 2013

Mortgage backed securities are in the red this morning. Although rates are still very low, those who have not locked in their mortgage rates may be surprised to see the rate or cost for the rate is now higher.  As the economy continues to show signs of improvement, investors will trade the safety of bonds (like mortgage backed securities) for stocks. 

As of 8:30 am this morning, 3.625% is priced near “par” (with as little rebate credit or discount points) for a 30 year fixed rate-term refinance (apr 3.690).  As you can see, mortgage rates are still very low however, they have been slowly trending higher. Rates change constantly and there are at least 10 factors that impact the pricing of mortgage rates. For your personal mortgage rate quote for your refi or home purchase anywhere in Washington state, click here.

This week is loaded with the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday and Friday’s Jobs Report. Here are some of the scheduled economic indicators and events that may impact mortgage rates this week.

Monday, January 28: Durable Goods Orders and Pending Home Sales

Tuesday, January 29: S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index and Consumer Confidence

Wednesday, January 30: GDP Chain Deflator, ADP National Employment Report, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and FOMC Meeting

Thursday, January 31: Employment Cost Index (ECI), Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Initial Jobless Claims and Chicago PMI

Friday, February 1: THE JOBS REPORT, ISM Services Index and Consumer Sentiment (UoM)

You can follow me on Twitter for live mortgage rate quotes at @mortgageporter and/or “like me” on Facebook.

If your home is located anywhere in Washington state, where I’m licensed to originate, I’m happy to help you with your mortgage. 

Mortgage rate update for the week of January 14, 2013

This week is packed with economic reports that may impact the direction of mortgage interest rates. Mortgage rates are based on mortgage backed securities (bonds). When the Fed minutes revealed hints that the FOMC may stop purchasing mortgage backed securities last week, mortgage rates ticked slightly higher. However Japan is hinting of buying US bonds, which is helping rates trend lower this morning.

Signs of inflation or the economy recovering may also cause mortgage rates to trend higher. Here are some of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week:

  • Mon, January 14: No scheduled data – however, Ben Bernanke is speaking this afternoon on monatary policy.
  • Tue, January 15: Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales and Empire State Index
  • Wed, January 16: Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Beige Book
  • Thurs, January 17: Initial Jobless Claims, Building Permits, Housing Starts and Philadelphia Fed Index
  • Fri, January 18: UoM Consumer Sentiment Index

NOTE: Monday, January 21, 2012 our office will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Day.

As I write this post (8:24 am pst) the DOW is up 5 at 13493 and MBS for the FNMA 30 year is up slightly.

If you would like a mortgage rate quote for your Washington state home, please click here. I’m happy to help!

Mortgage update for the week of January 7, 2013

This week may seem like a real yawn with only the initial Jobless Claims being released on Thursday, January 10, 2013.  

On Thursday we may hear from the Consumer Protection Financial Bureau’s about what defines a “qualified mortgage” (QM). From Bloomberg:

The qualified mortgage rule, mandated by Congress as part of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, is aimed at tightening lax underwriting that fueled the housing bubble. The regulations aim to protect consumers from mortgages they cannot afford by requiring lenders to take steps such as verifying income and assets. In return, lenders gain some protection from lawsuits.

Although having a “qualified mortgage” may sound like a does of common sense, we won’t know what we are dealing with until we learn about what constitutes a “qualified mortgage”. For example, currently an industry standard for a debt-to-income ratio is 45%, should the government decide that a DTI of 43% is required in order to be deemed a “qualified mortgage”, many Americans will find themselves not able to obtain a mortgage OR possibly paying a higher rate or fee for a “non-qualified” mortgage. I’m anxiously awaiting Thursday’s news from the CFPB.

If you are interested in refinancing or buying a home in Bellingham, Bellevue, Bainbridge Island or anywhere in Washington, I’m happy to help you!

The Fed says….Mortgage Rates to Remain Low

2012-08-20-0845This morning FOMC announced no changes to the current Fed Funds rate (this is no surprise). The Fed has decided to keep the Fed Funds rate at 0 – 0.25% until the unemployment rate is under 6.5%.  This may be some good news to home owners who have HELOCs as many of them have rates tied to the prime rate, which is based on the Fed Funds rate.

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Mortgage Update for the Week of December 12, 2010

iStock-000020911287XSmallMortgage rates continue to be very low levels. Freddie Mac has been reporting average interest rates for 30 year at under 4% for the last year with 15 year fixed rates being under 3% for the last six months.

While the Fed works at keeping rates at artificially low levels, Congress is considering increasing the guarantee fees to new conventional mortgages to help fund programs that have nothing to do with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or even the housing recovery. The guarantee fees (aka g-fees) are factored into the pricing of a mortgage rate. FHA mortgage loans are also becoming more expensive in 2013 with the increase of mortgage insurance premiums.

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Ben Bernanke says mortgage underwriting standards are too tight

In his speech at Operation HOPE Financial Dignity Summit yesterday on the challenges of the housing market and mortgage lending, FOMC Chairman Bernanke expressed concerns that mortgage underwriting has become “overly tight”. 

“…Some tightening of credit standards was an appropriate response to the lax lending conditions that prevailed in the years leading up to the peak in house prices. Mortgage loans that were poorly underwritten or inappropriate for the borrower’s circumstances ultimately had devastating consequences for many families and communities, as well as for the financial institutions themselves and the broader economy.

However, it seems likely at this point that the pendulum has swung too far the other way, and that overly tight lending standards may now be preventing creditworthy borrowers from buying homes, thereby slowing the revival in housing and impeding the economic recovery.’

Borrowers who have recently purchased a home or closed on a non-streamlined refinance would most likely agree with Ben Bernanke’s views on underwriting guidelines. And for the most part, I do too. Today’s home buyer will often find every aspect of their income, assets and credit scrutinized. For example, Form 4506 (which was once used primarily for stated or no-income verified loans) is now pulled on every mortgage in process to obtain a copy of the tax transcripts for the the past two years. Any discrepancies between the 4506 and income supplied must be addressed, which often leads to the borrowers having to provide complete tax returns instead of just their W2’s. If a borrower has deposits on their bank statements that are not easily identified, they can expect to show proof of where that deposit came from. Credit reports may disclose information that the borrower may need to address as well beyond the good old “inquiry letter”. Now they disclose information about activity associated to a borrowers address that may or may not relate to the borrower. Don’t get me wrong, loans are closing however the process for some can require a great deal of patience and paperwork.

“When lenders were asked why they have originated fewer mortgages, they cited a variety of concerns, starting with worries about the economy, the outlook for house prices, and their existing real estate loan exposures. They also mention increases in servicing costs and the risk of being required by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) to repurchase delinquent loans (so-called putback risk).”

“Putbacks” are also referred to as “buy-backs”. And buy-backs tend to roll down hill to the source that originated the mortgage, including  banks and correspondent lenders like Mortgage Master Service Corporation. This happens when the loan (borrower) is not performing. The lender will go over the loan documents with a fine tooth comb to try to find fault in the underwriting so they can justify sending the loan (forcing a buy-back) to the originating lender. This is why many borrowers are having to over-document their finances.

The Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices indicates that lenders began tightening mortgage credit standards in 2007 and have not significantly eased standards since.

Ben Bernanke and the Fed cannot control the underwriting guidelines and overlays that banks have for mortgage lending. I certainly do not want to see the loose underwriting of the subprime era return. However I do agree that for the most part, underwriting has become pretty tight and I would welcome more “common sense” for well qualified borrowers.

Mr. Bernanke needs to brush up on Frank Dodd and how it will continue impact the mortgage industry and underwriting guidelines.

Your thoughts?

Mortgage rate update for the week of October 1, 2012

mortgageporter-economyI cannot believe it’s October, can  you? Perhaps it’s our extended summery weather we are experiencing in Seattle. This being the first week of a month means that we have the Jobs Report being released this Friday. The Jobs Report tends to impact mortgage rates as it indicates how the economy is doing and the potential for wage inflation. It is anticipated that 120k jobs were added last month – we’ll see how the numbers pencil out on Friday when September’s Jobs Report is released. Wednesday is loaded with both the ADP National Employment Report and the release of the FOMC minutes.

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