Declining Home Values: Good for Buyers – Bad for Refi’s

September 16, 2008 by Leave a Comment

Last Wednesday’s Seattle PI featured a front page article by Aubrey Cohen: Home values drop by double digits.   According to data by the NWMLS, the median sales price for houses in August 2008 for Seattle was $464,800; a 7.8% drop from July 2008 of $428,500 and 14.5% drop when compared to the median sales price from August 2007 of $501,000.   King County also dealing with a double digit drop.   The median sales price for houses in King County in August 2008 was $423,950; a 4.7% drop in one month with July 2008 at $445,000 and a 11.2% drop compared to August 2007 at $447,345.

If you’re a home buyer in this market, you’re in the drivers seat…and sitting pretty at that.  Listings are up 18.3% in King County (condos and houses) as compared to August of 2007; giving you plenty of choices.  Sellers are more likely to contribute towards your closing costs and prices are more attractive than recent years.

What if you all ready own a home and you’re considering refinancing?  Even though your home is your castle, the appraiser must use 3 recent sales (over the last 6 months is preferred) of homes similar to yours to come up with an appraised value.  This can be a little tricky with fewer sales AND lower sales prices.   Using the King County figures above and rates I’ve quoted at Mortgage Porter, this is how a refinance could be impacted:

Joe and Suzy purchased their home in King County for $447,345 in August 2007 utilizing a 30 year fixed mortgage at 6.625% with a loan amount of $357,900 (20% down payment).  They are now interested in taking advantage of our lower rates and decide to refinance since rates are close to a full 1% lower with zero points and they’re going to stay in their home for at least the next five years.   They have not paid additional towards their principal and their current balance is now around $354,250 with a principal and interest payment of $2,291.67.

An appraisal reveals that their home, based on what others like theirs have recently sold for, is now worth $423,950.  The best priced rate/term refinance (assuming perfect credit) is an 80% loan to value.  80% of $423,950 is $339,160.  If Joe and Suzy want to drop their rate by one point, they would need to bring in $15,000, not including closing costs if they want to avoid private mortgage insurance.  (Second mortgages are now pretty tough to come by these days).

Joe and Suzy’s home may be worth more than average.  Loan originators do not know what the value will be until we receive the appraisal.  I do have some resources available (such as researching comps via the title company) however, it’s just a rough idea.  Be wary of any loan originator who promises you that your home value will be perfect for a refinance.

Joe and Suzy’s options (if they want to refi) are:

  1. Bring in $15,000 plus closing costs (approx. $2600) to closing to pay down principal to 80% of present value.  Principal and interest payment = $2,033.44 – based on 30 yr at 6.00% at 0 pts (apr 6.063).   A savings of $258 per month, at a cost of $17,600, Joe and Suzy really need to decide if this is the best use of their money.  Based on their monthly savings, they’ll break even in approx. 5 and a half years.   
  2. Private mortgage insurance.  Paying off the entire mortgage balance plus closing costs provides a loan to value of approx. 85%.  Principal, interest and mortgage insurance based on 5.875% at 0.75% pts (apr 6.005) = 2,227.70.  This is a monthly savings of $63.97.  Suzy and Joe do not have to bring in $15,000 to pay down their principal, however it will take almost 7 years to break even on the cost of this refinance. 
  3. Rates with LPMI (lender paid mortgage insurance) are not competitive for this scenario. 
  4. FHA has monthly and upfront mortgage insurance.  Unless their motivations are other than reducing their rate, this is not a valid option for this scenario.

Even if our local market has hit bottom, appraised values will be impacted for several months until home values begin to appreciate.   Appraised values are a reflection of what has sold in the past.  Appraised values may continue to trend lower for refinances. 

Glenn Crellin, director of Washington Center for Real Estate Research at Washington State University states (from Aubrey Cohen’s article) regarding the recent drop in rates from the Fannie/Freddie takeover his expectation is:

"those decline in rates are going to be relatively short term." 

And to those who are trying to get the "bottom" of the market for home prices, he says it’s "nearly impossible".  Let’s face it, we really won’t know where the bottom is until prices are heading back up.

If you are considering refinancing, I do recommend that you contact your mortgage professional soon and "be real" about your home value.  I don’t encourage waiting with median sales price declines at 4.7 (King County) to 7.8 (Seattle) per month as it’s eating away at your equity and refi options. 

If you are considering buying a home, proceed with getting preapproved so you’re ready to make an offer should you find the home you’re looking for.

Related Post:

When Appraisals Come in Low for a Refi

Filed Under: Appraisals, Economy, Refinance, Residential Purchase, Seattle

How Will the New Jumbo Limits Impact You?

August 21, 2008 by Leave a Comment

If you’re buying a home $520,000 or below over the next year, you won’t really be impacted by the reduced FHA Jumbo and Conforming Jumbo limits.   However, if you’re considering buying a home with minimum down, you’re losing $45,000 of financing power on January 1, 2008 with a $522,100 loan limit.

I wrote an article at Rain City Guide in June about how much home $17,550 can buy you in King, Pierce and Snohomish County with the current loan limit of $567,500.  The answer: $585,000 utilizing a FHA Jumbo.   Once the new loan limit is in place for our region, the most you can buy with minimum down will be closer to $540,000.   Although the new minimum required investment at 3.5% (effective October 1, 2008) will increase the amount required to $18,900 (based on a $540,000 sales price).

Want to do conventional 20% down and stay away the "true jumbo" rates by utilizing the maximum conforming jumbo?  Currently, a sales price (or appraised value in the case of a refinance) of $709,000 will get you pretty close to the existing limit at $567,200.  As of January 1, 2009, that sales price (or appraised value) is reduced to $652,500 for a loan amount of $522,000.

Refinances may also be impacted depending on what the payoffs are on the existing balances and if it’s classified as a "cash out" refinance (second mortgages not obtained from when you purchased your home is considered cash out) which have tougher guidelines than a "rate term" refinance.  Underwriting guidelines continue to tighten and will continue as well.

As always, I highly recommend that if you are considering buying or refinancing in the next year, to contact a local Mortgage Professional at your earliest convenience.   The loan limits may not even impact you, it’s never to early to prepare considering our current climate. 

Filed Under: FHA, Jumbo/Non-Conforming, Refinance, Residential Purchase

FHA Minimum Down Payment Increasing January 1, 2009

August 13, 2008 by 4 Comments

With the passage of HR 3221, the minimum required investment of a home buyer utilizing a FHA insured mortgage is increasing from roughly 3% to 3.5% effective January 1, 2009.  You may think this sounds like small change, but with larger loan amounts, this adds up.

For example, if a home buyer is utilizing a FHA Jumbo and they are buying a home priced at $500,000.   Their current minimum required down payment of 3% is $15,000.  Effective January 1, 2009, the minimum required down payment of 3.5% is $17,500; a difference of $2,500 for the amount required to invest into the transaction.   With a home priced at $300,000; the current required investment from the buyer would be $9,000.  As of January 1, 2009, the new amount required will be $10,500.

What does this mean to you?

If you are planning to buy a home utilizing a FHA insured mortgage, be aware of the changes to the minimum down payment requirements.   After December 31, 2008, you'll be required to come up with additional funds towards your down payment which may be a gift or loan from family members.

If you are wanting to take advantage of the lower down payment requirement, meet with a Mortgage Professional who is qualified to provide FHA loans (not all loan originators are, you can check HUD's site to verify).

If you would like me to provide la rate quote for a FHA mortgage on a home located anywhere in Washington, please click here.

Editors Note: this post wass been modified to correct the effective date.

Filed Under: FHA, Jumbo/Non-Conforming, Legislation, Residential Purchase

Conforming/FHA Jumbo Limit to Decrease January 1, 2009

August 12, 2008 by Leave a Comment

November 7, 2008 Update: FHFA has announced the new conforming jumbo loan limits for 2009 which are based on a lower median home price than used here (which was 2008’s limits).  Based on these figures, a single family unit will be $506,000 for King, Pierce and Snohomish Counties.  Read more here.

Recent legislation, HR 3221 included what the new conforming loan limits will be.  Our conforming-jumbo limits will be rolled back slightly to the following effective for all mortgage loans not closed December 31, 2008.   Here’s what the new limits will be effective January 1, 2009 (based on HUD’s current median home prices at the time of this post):

King, Pierce and Snohomish Counties:

Single Family:  $506,000 $522,100 ($567,500 until 12/31/2008)

Two Family:  $668,350 ($726,500 until 12/31/2008)

Three Family: $807,850 ($878,150 until 12/31/2008)

Four Family: $1,004,000 ($1,091,350 until 12/31/2008)

Kitsap County:

Single Family:  $437,000 ($475,000 until 12/31/2008)

Two Family:  $559,450 ($608,100 until 12/31/2008)

Three Family:  $676,250 ($735,050 until 12/31/2008)

Four Family:  $840,350 ($913,450 until 12/31/2008)

San Juan County:

Single Family:  $546,250 ($593,750 until 12/31/2008)

Two Family:  $699,250 ($760,100 until 12/31/2008)

Three Family:  $845,250 ($918,800 until 12/31/2008)

Four Family: $1,050,500 ($1,141,850 until 12/31/2008)

Clark and Skamania Counties:

Single Family: $417,000 ($418,750 until 12/31/2008)

Two Family:  $533,850 ($536,050 until 12/31/2008)

Three Family:  $645,300 ($648,000 until 12/31/2008)

Four Family:  $801,950 ($805,300 until 12/31/2008)

Jefferson County:

Single Family:  $417,000 ($437,500 until 12/31/2008)

Two Family:  $533,850 ($560,050 until 12/31/2008)

Three Family:  $645,300 ($677,000 until 12/31/2008)

Four Family:  $801,950 ($841,350 until 12/31/2008)

Watch for my follow up post on what this means to you.

Read my related articles on HR 3221:

First Time Home Buyers Tax Credit

Down Payment Assistance Programs Days are Numbered

Filed Under: FHA, Jumbo/Non-Conforming, Legislation, Mortgage, Refinance, Residential Purchase, Seattle

Down Payment Assistance Programs Days are Numbered

August 11, 2008 by 6 Comments

With the passing of HR 3221, Down Payment Assistance Programs will no longer be allowed with FHA mortgages as of October 1, 2008.    DPA’s such as Nehemiah, have been popular for helping home buyers come up with their down payment.  FHA allows Sellers to pay for closing costs and prepaids as long as the buyer has met their minimum required investment (which has also changed with the passing of HR 3221–another post will follow on this subject).   With DPAs, the seller contributes funds to the DPA (like Nehemiah) which is a "charity" (they collect a small fee from the seller which is used for charitable causes).   The DPA then contributes the funds towards the down payment for the buyer.

Section 2113 of HR 3221 states that down payments for FHA insured mortgages may not come from "the seller or any other person or entity that financially benefits from the transaction" or "any third party or entity that is reimbursed directly or indirectly".  This applies for new loan applications on or after October 1, 2008.

Family members can still contribute towards the down payment on FHA insured mortgages.  In fact, Section 2113 of HR 3221 allows family members to loan up to "100% of the appraised value of the property plus any initial service charges, appraisal, inspection and other fees in connection with the mortgage".   The borrower must qualify for both mortgage payments (the first mortgage-FHA insured at 96.5% of the appraised value and the second mortgage from the Bank of Mom and Dad for the remainder).   This may make family members more comfortable with helping out with down payments as it will not be treated as a gift and the loan is documented, terms would be clear and recorded as well as secured against the property as collateral.  (Hopefully the Bank of Mom and Dad never have to foreclose).

What does this mean to you?

If you’re considering buying a home with minimum down payment, your family can gift or finance the 3.5% required investment of the buyer for FHA insured financing.  However, if you’re family not in the position to do so or if you don’t want to ask the Bank of Mom and Dad, then you have limited time to take advantage of the Down Payment Assistance Programs.

If you’re hoping to use a down payment assistance program to purchase your next home, you have just over a month to do so.  Meet as soon as possible with a qualified Mortgage Professional who can help you become preapproved with an FHA insured mortgage (NOTE:  not all lenders are approved to do FHA loans).  You must be credit approved prior to October 1, 2008 (and the closer we approach that date, the busier FHA approved lenders will be trying to beat the deadline).

Of course, DPAs are going down kicking and screaming to stay alive.  At this point, the countdown to the demise of DPAs is clicking away.

Update: 9:30 am August 11, 2008.   I’ve just received notice from one of the banks that we work with are no longer allowing DPAs.   This serves as a good reminder that lenders may have their guidelines that overlay government requirements.

Related posts on HR 3221:

First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

Filed Under: FHA, Legislation, Residential Purchase

First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

August 6, 2008 by 41 Comments

Update February 17, 2009:  The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act has modified this tax credit posted here.  If you're a first time home buyer who purchased January 1, 2009 – December 31, 2009; click here.  If you purchased from April 9, 2008 – December 31, 2008; this post still applies to you. 

Please check with your CPA or tax advisor to see how this impacts you.

With the recent passage of HR 3221, people who have not owned a home for the lastUnclesam  3 years may qualify for an interest free loan from Uncle Sam of up to $7,500. Here's a quick skinny on how this works:

First time home buyers may receive a tax credit of up to 10% of the purchase price of the home (not to exceed $7500).   This is a "tax credit" meaning that you receive the credit (if you want it) after you file your income taxes.   For example, this means that when you file your taxes in 2009 and you owe $5,000 to Uncle Sam and you qualify to have a tax credit in the amount of $7,500; you would receive a refund of $2,500.   However, this is a refundable credit (aka interest free loan) that must be paid back each year to the IRS (when you file your taxes) over the next 15 years.

If you sell your home before the tax credit is repaid to Uncle Sam, then the full amount is due or if your property that you received the tax credit for is no longer your primary residence (i.e. you convert your home to a rental).

This credit does not apply if the first time home buyer is buying a home from a relative.

This tax credit is only available for purchases made between April 9, 2008 and July 1, 2009 for adjusted gross incomes of up to $75,000 ($150,000, if married, filed jointly) and phases out up to $95,000 ($170,000, if married, filed jointly).

Should you take advantage of this opportunity? 

Sure!  Who wouldn't want a $7,500 interest free loan?  Two things I would consider using this credit for if I were a first time home buyer:

  • investing into an interest bearing savings account to build my "emergency fund".
  • pay off a nasty high interest credit card (freeing up a monthly cash flow).
  • fund your IRA.

Just understand that this is essentially an interest free loan.  This is not "down payment assistance".  You will be paying this back over the next 15 years (or sooner if you sell, rent out the property or convert it a second home)…but you just can't beat "interest free".

For more information, click here.

Friendly reminder:  I am not a tax professional, I am a Mortgage Planner assisting families who need mortgages in beautiful Washington State.   Always consult with your CPA, financial or tax advisor.

Watch for more posts on the effects of HR 3221.

Filed Under: First Time Home Buyer, Legislation, Residential Purchase

How Much Home Can You Buy with $17,550 Down

July 22, 2008 by 1 Comment

I’m taking a brief blogging break.  This is a reprint from Rain City Guide.  To read the original post and 100 plus comments, click here.

My purpose for this post is to hit it home what a great window of opportunity we have with FHA Jumbo windowmortgages which are only around until December 31, 2008 unless Congress passes an extension of some sort (which is a possibility-but not guaranteed).

For the remainder of this year, you can use $17,550 to buy a home priced at $585,000 using FHA Jumbo with 3% down.    FHA requires the buyer to invest 3% into the transaction (which can be a qualified gift).  3% of $585,000 = $17,550.  (With roughly 5% down, utilizing FHA Jumbo, you can puchase a home for $600,000).  The Seller can contribute up to 6% towards closing costs and prepaids as long as the buyers 3% required investment is met.  With this scenario, the Seller is contributing around $14,000.   The loan amount is just under the maximum allowed FHA Jumbo for King, Snohomish and Pierce County of $567,500.   

With FHA there are no income limitations and much easier on credit scoring than conventional mortgages which ding you if your score is 719 or lower.   Effective January 1, 2008 2009 (as things currently stand) the FHA loan limit will be reduced to their actual loan limit of $362,790 for King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties. 

Of course, you’re not limited to FHA if you only have around $17,550.  There’s also Fannie Mae Flex (someone please knock on wood fast before Fannie shelves decides to put this product on the shelf) which allows lower down payment–currently as low as 97%.  However the highest loan amount allowed is the true conforming of $417,000.   Utilizing a Fannie Flex program, you could purchase a home priced around $434,000 with the seller contributing about $12,000 towards your closing costs and prepaids.

So we’re talking $585,000 sales price using FHA Jumbo (while supplies last!) or $434,000 with Fannie Flex97 (while this product is still available) if you have $17,550 for a down payment.   Can you see why I’m so crazy about FHA Jumbo?  This is a window of opportunity for those who qualify for the payment but may be shy on the down payment that’s scheduled to close on December 31, 2008

Filed Under: FHA, Jumbo/Non-Conforming, Residential Purchase

Now is the time to buy a Seattle home

June 8, 2008 by Leave a Comment

Or at least haggle according to Aubrey Cohen’s front page article in Friday’s Seattle P-I.  Would I buy a home right now in Seattle if I were in the market?  Quite possibly…especially if it’s a home that I desire and if it’s priced fairly.   The article states these factors for reasons home buyers interested in Seattle (I would include Bellevue/Redmond as well) should get into the market now:

  • Gas Prices.  Homes located near where jobs are will have stronger values.  Fewer people are going to want to commute thanks to how much it is to fill the tank.   
  • Mortgage interest rates are rising.   Glenn Crellin, director of the Washington Center for Real Estate Research at WSU states "waiting for the prices to get to their absolute lowest point while interest rates are rising doesn’t mean that the purchasers are going to be saving much of anything on the monthly payments". 
  • High inventory.  There are a lot of homes to chose from at lower prices.

According to this article, home prices in Seattle are only down 2.7% from a year ago; King County is down 6.2%.  The further away from "the city" you look for homes, the more the values have been impacted.   

Here are some additional reasons (not in the article) to consider "getting into the market" as a home buyer. 

  • The Conforming-Jumbo and FHA jumbo loan limits are only effective through the end of this year.   On January 1, 2009, the conforming limit will roll back to $417,000 and FHA (for King County) will be $362,950.  (Unless Congress passes an extension to the loan limits, which they may do at a reduced amount.  The fact is, at this time, we only know that the current loan limits are valid until December 31, 2008).   If you want a "non-jumbo" rate and your loan amount is $417,001-$567,500…your time is limited.
  • Underwriting guidelines continue to get tougher with lenders and private mortgage insurance companies.   Plus, the possibility of having your area declared a declining market will make financing even more challenging.
  • If you’re sitting on the fence, you are not alone.  There are many home buyers who are getting preapproved waiting for prices to reach their "price point".  As prices lower, more and more will be hopping off the fence and jumping into the market which will also prevent in-city home prices from declining as much as other areas.
  • Sellers are contributing towards closing costs.  I’m seeing more offers with sellers contributing towards closing costs for the buyer.  Buyers can use the funds to buy down their rate are reduce their closing costs.

If you are considering buying a home within the next 6 months, I strongly encourage you to begin the preapproval process now.  The more time you have to prepare, the better position you’ll be in to make an offer.   Plus, I’ve heard that some in-city homes, when priced right, are having multiple offers–buyers should be armed with a preapproval letter to present a stronger offer. 

It’s also very important to work with an experienced real estate agent who will look out for your best interest (I do not recommend going directly to the listing agent for any home you wish to buy…they represent the sellers interest–not yours).   If you need a referral to a real estate agent in King, Pierce or Snohomish counties, contact me, I’m happy to help.

PS:  I help Washington State home buyers with preapprovals and mortgage planning, too!  (My husband thinks I should remind my readers of this point more often…and I like to keep him happy).

Just for grins, here is a lesson in how to haggle (if you work with a professional real estate agent, you can leave the haggling to them), compliments of Monty Python, The Life of Brian.

Filed Under: First Time Home Buyer, Mortgage Insurance, Residential Purchase
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