10:15 am: As I begin this post, we are about 45 minutes from knowing if the Fed is going to “pause” on hiking the fed funds rate, or if the hikes will continue.
Typically, mortgage rates would be improved right now already factoring in the pause, which would indicate that inflation is taming. Inflation retreating is good news for mortgage interest rates since mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage-backed securities). Right now (10:17 PST), MBS for 30 year 5% are down about 10bps. [Read more…]
Today, in a move that probably surprised nobody, 
Mortgage interest rates have been moving higher at a pace not seen in years. If you’ve been a subscriber to The Mortgage Porter, you may recall that I often say mortgage rates move up much faster than they come down…the jump over the last few days has surprised many. 
Today wrapped up the two-day FOMC meeting and Chairman Powell announced that the funds rate will be increased by a half point. As of today, the federal funds rate is 0.75-1% and is expected to another 2 percent by the end of the year.
The Fed’s announcement today to leave the funds rate unchanged was not a surprise to the markets. What did send the bond market in a tizzy this afternoon was that the Fed ever-so-slightly moved the goal posts out a bit for inflation. 
Mortgage rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities) and are traded fairly similar as stocks. Investors tend to favor stocks over bonds as stocks tend to provide a better return. However, investors will opt for bonds over stocks when they are seeking safety when markets are tumultuous. When the stock market is on a run, odds are mortgage rates may be moving higher as investors are selecting stocks over bonds. And when the stock market is tanking, 
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