This week is packed with data that may drive mortgage rates higher or lower, including the Fed meeting which wraps up on Wednesday. It’s highly unlikely the Fed will make any changes to the Fed Funds Rate. Traders will be waiting for clues on when tapering may begin (it’s estimated will be pushed out to March 2014). Remember, mortgage interest rates are based on bonds (mortgage backed securities – MBS) and change throughout the day, just like stocks do. It’s not unusual to have bonds react opposite of the stock market as investors will often trade the safety of bonds for the potential return found with stocks (and the reverse is true).
What May Impact Mortgage Rates this Week: September 30, 2013: Mortgage Rates Trending Lower
What May Impact Mortgage Rates this Week: September 16, 2013
Mortgage backed securities are improving this morning on the news that Larry Summers has withdrawn as a candidate for the next Fed Chairman. This leaves current Fed Vice Chairman Janet Yellan as a strong candidate to replace Ben Bernanke. Bond markets are reacting positively to the news that Janet is once again a front runner as the next Fed head. Speaking of the Fed – watch for the results of the FOMC meeting on this Wednesday.
What may impact mortgage rates this week: August 26, 2013
Mortgage rates are not just influenced by scheduled economic indicators. Sometimes uncertainty in the world, such as what’s going on in Syria, will cause a flight to safety with investors seeking bonds, like mortgage backed securities. This is causing mortgage rates, which are based on mortgage backed securities, to be improved this morning.
Here are a few of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week:
What May Impact Mortgage Rates this Week: August 12, 2013
What May Impact Mortgage Rates this Week: July 15, 2013 [with mortgage rates]
This week, mortgage rates continue to be bumpy and with Ben Bernanke speaking tomorrow on Capital Hill, we may additional volatility. Here are some of the scheduled economic indicators to be released this week:
What May Impact Mortgage Rates this Week: July 8, 2013
This morning, mortgage backed securities are recovering from Friday’s fiasco following the better than expected Jobs Report. On Wednesday, the minutes from the last Fed meeting will be released which may set mortgage rates off on another roller coaster ride.
Here are some of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week:
What may impact mortgage rates this week: June 24, 2013
Mortgage rates are still marching higher this morning. As I’ve mentioned many times over the past couple years, mortgage rates rise much quicker than they come down, as we are experiencing that right now. As I begin to write this post on 7:00 am on June 24, 2013, the DOW is down 243. MBS are down over 100 bps as investors continue to sell mortgage backed securities as the end of the Fed’s manipulation of mortgage draws near.
Here are some of the scheduled economic indicators to be released this week:
Tuesday, June 25: Durable Goods Orders; S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index; Consumer Confidence; New Home Sales
Wednesday, June 26: Gross Domestic Product (GDP); GDP Chain Deflator
Thursday, June 27: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE); Core PCE; Personal Income; Personal Spending; Initial Jobless Claims; Pending Home Sales
Friday, June 28: Chicago PMI; Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM)
I’m checking pricing for mortgage rates and we have long since left the 3’s for 30 year fixed… looks like if rates stay on this pace, it won’t be long before we are back to rates in the 5% range. Which historically speaking is still low…however, it doesn’t feel so low to those who have become accustomed to the artificially low rates we’ve enjoyed the past couple years.
As of 7:30 am, for a 30 year fixed rate based on a loan amount of $400,000 and an 80% loan to value with a 740 minimum credit score, I’m quoting (ready for this??):
- 4.750% priced with 0.064% discount, essentially at “par” or as close to zero points and zero rebate as I can get with the lenders we work with (apr 4.830).
- 4.625% is currently priced with 1.090% discount points (apr 4.921%).
Remember, mortgage rates change constantly, often several times a day – especially with how volatile the markets have been. If you would like a mortgage rate quote based on current pricing and your personal scenario for a home located anywhere in Washington state, where I’m licensed, click here.
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UPDATE 8:30 am: Check out the MBS chart from this week’s issue of Mortgage Market Guide Weekly to see how dramatically rates have recently gone up.
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