What may impact mortgage rates this week: June 3, 2013

Mortgage rates have been trending higher, catching some home buyers and home owners waiting for a much lower rate off guard. Will that trend continue? We have the Jobs Report being released this Friday and if it comes in significantly weaker than expected, we may see rates improve. Historically speaking, mortgage rates are still very low…however, those who are set on the artificially sweet rates we’ve been experiencing, may be disappointed.  You may be interested the graph in MMG Weekly ilustrating how rough May was on mortgage rates.

Here are a few of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week:

  • Mon., June 3: ISM Index
  • Wed., June 5: ADP National Jobs Report; Productivity; ISM Service Index; and the Fed’s Beige Book
  • Thur., June 6: Initial Jobless Claims
  • Fri., June 7: The Jobs Report

The Jobs Report is the “big daddy” this week with expectations of employers adding 159k new jobs last month. If the jobs report reveals robust employment and figures better than anticipated, we may see rates spike higher. If the report surprises with weaker employment data and less jobs added than expected, we could see an improvement in rates.

As I write this post (June 3, 2013 at 8:50 am) mortgage rates are improving a bit from earlier this morning due to ISM Index coming in worse than expected.  Mortgage rates change constantly. If you are interested in a mortgage rate quote based on your scenario and *current* rates, please click here. NOTE: I can only provide rates for homes located in Washington state, where I am licensed to originate mortgages.

30 year fixed:  3.875% (apr 4.046) priced with 1.232 discount points with closing cost (including points) of $8488. Principal and interest payment = $1,880.05

30 year fixed:  4.000% (apr 4.121) priced with 0.616 discount points bringing estimated closing cost to $6,024 with a principal and interest payment of $1,909.66

15 year fixed: 3.125% (apr 3.332) priced with 0.630 discount points bringing estimated closing cost to $6,080 with a principal and interest payment of $2,786.44.

Rates quoted above are based on a 740 or higher mid-credit score with a loan amount of $400,000 and a sales price of $500,000 for an 80% loan to value for a purchase in Seattle closing by July 11, 2013 using conventional financing.

If you are a pre-approved home buyer, you may want to contact your mortgage professional to make sure the rise in mortgage rates has not impacted your approval status. Especially if your approval letter was prepared over a week ago or your pushing your qualifying limits with higher debt to income ratios.

If I can help you with your refinance or purchase with your home located anywhere in Washington state, please contact me.

Why is the Jobs Report so important to mortgage rates?

MortgagePorter-JobsReportTypically on the first Friday of every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Employment Situation Summary, otherwise known as The Jobs Report. This report details specific employment trends, including how many Americans are employed with “non-farm” jobs, trends in various fields of employment, income and hours worked. It also includes the “official” unemployment rate. The data contained in the Jobs Report carries a lot of weight and is considered one of  our country’s stronger economic indicators.

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What may impact mortgage rates the week of April 29, 2013

This week is jam packed with economic data that may move mortgage rates, including the Fed meeting wrapping up on Wednesday and Friday’s Jobs Report.

This morning’s PCE came in with inflation continuing to be tame (good news for bonds, like mortgage backed securities). And more good news for housing, Pending Home Sales for March came in much stronger than expected.

Here are some of the economic indicators scheduled to be released this week:

Monday, April 29: Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE; Pending Home Sales

Tuesday, April 30: Employment Cost Index (ECI); S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index; Chicago PMI; Consumer Confidence

Wednesday, May 1: ADP National Employment Report; ISM Index; FOMC Meeting

Thursday, May 2: Productivity and Initial Jobless Claims

Friday: The Jobs Report; ISM Services Index

As I get ready to publish this post (9:30 am) the DOW is up 94 points at 14,806 and mortgage backed securities are up 12 bps (FNMA 30 year 3.0%).

If you want to keep current with the results from the economic indicators for the rest of this week, you can follow me on Twitter @mortgageporter or Facebook.

Of course if you are considering buying or refinancing a home located in Everett, Edmonds, Enumclaw or anywhere in Washington state, where I’m licensed, I’m happy to help you – click here for a mortgage rate quote.

 

 

Mortgage update for the week of April 1, 2013

Happy April Fools Day! 13 years ago today, I began my mortgage career at Mortgage Master Service Corporation…time flies when you’re having fun! April Fools is also the day I married my husband, Rob, seven years ago. Neither of these events impact mortgage interest rates – here are some scheduled economic indicators for this week that may:

Monday, April 1: ISM Index

Wednesday, April 3: ADP National Employment Report and ISM Services Index

Thursday, April 4: Initial Jobless Claims

Friday, April 5: THE JOBS REPORT

We’ll see on Friday if the unemployment rate continues to trend lower. Remember, positive data or signs of inflation tends to drive mortgage rates higher as investors will trade the safety of bonds (like mortgage backed securities) for the potential higher return of stocks. The reverse is also true.

Mortgage rates are still very low. You can see what rates I’m quoting as well as tid-bits about mortgages if you follow me on Twitter or Facebook. If you would like me to provide you with a mortgage rate quote for your purchase or refi on a home located anywhere in Washington state, click here.

dadog
Rhonda and Rob Porter

Mortgage rate update for the week of March 11, 2013

MortgagePorter-JobsReportThe strong Jobs Report on Friday caused mortgage rates to trend higher. This morning rates are still at that level. Please keep in mind that although I talk about mortgage  rates been higher – they’re still very low. However if you’ve been pricing mortgage rates over the last two months, you’ll notice that the price (discount) for the same rate you’ve been quoted, cost more.

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Mortgage rate update for the week of January 28, 2013

Mortgage backed securities are in the red this morning. Although rates are still very low, those who have not locked in their mortgage rates may be surprised to see the rate or cost for the rate is now higher.  As the economy continues to show signs of improvement, investors will trade the safety of bonds (like mortgage backed securities) for stocks. 

As of 8:30 am this morning, 3.625% is priced near “par” (with as little rebate credit or discount points) for a 30 year fixed rate-term refinance (apr 3.690).  As you can see, mortgage rates are still very low however, they have been slowly trending higher. Rates change constantly and there are at least 10 factors that impact the pricing of mortgage rates. For your personal mortgage rate quote for your refi or home purchase anywhere in Washington state, click here.

This week is loaded with the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday and Friday’s Jobs Report. Here are some of the scheduled economic indicators and events that may impact mortgage rates this week.

Monday, January 28: Durable Goods Orders and Pending Home Sales

Tuesday, January 29: S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index and Consumer Confidence

Wednesday, January 30: GDP Chain Deflator, ADP National Employment Report, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and FOMC Meeting

Thursday, January 31: Employment Cost Index (ECI), Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), Initial Jobless Claims and Chicago PMI

Friday, February 1: THE JOBS REPORT, ISM Services Index and Consumer Sentiment (UoM)

You can follow me on Twitter for live mortgage rate quotes at @mortgageporter and/or “like me” on Facebook.

If your home is located anywhere in Washington state, where I’m licensed to originate, I’m happy to help you with your mortgage. 

Mortgage rate update for the week of December 31, 2012

Happy last day of 2012! Although this is a short week due to the New Year holiday, it’s packed with economic data that may impact mortgage rates, including The Jobs Report on Friday. Here are a few of the scheduled events for this week:

Monday, December 31, 2012: Last day for Congress to avoid the “fiscal cliff”.

Tuesday, January 1, 2013: HAPPY NEW YEAR! 

Wednesday, January 2, 2013: ISM Index and FOMC Minutes

Thursday, January 3, 2013: ADP National Employment Report

Friday, January 4, 2013: The Jobs Report

Just a quick reminder, I am on a short vacation and will be returning to work on January 3, 2013.

PS: Go HAWKS!!

Mortgage Rate Update for the week of December 3, 2012

mortgageporter-economyNot everything that impacts mortgage rates are scheduled economic indicators, like what I’m sharing with you below in this post. Sometimes Congress tacks on fees that are priced into interest interest rates too. For example, the House of Representatives just passed a new “G-Fee” to help fund an Immigration Bill, HR 1629. This “G-Fee” will impact new Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages. Why new home buyers and people refinancing have to pay for this bill which does not relate to mortgages during a time housing is trying to recover puzzles me. Click here to see how your House Rep voted on this bill.

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