Six months ago, I published my 2026 mortgage rate predictions, and if you’d told me back in December that the biggest driver of rates this year would be a war halfway around the world, I would’ve said that’s not usually how this works. But here we are at the midyear mark, and that’s exactly what happened. Let’s recap what actually unfolded in the first half of 2026 and then get into the updated forecasts for the rest of the year. [Read more…]
2026 Mortgage Rate Forecast: Midyear Update
July 1, 2026 by 1 Comment
Fed Day: Warsh’s First Decision and What It Means for Your Mortgage Rate
June 17, 2026 by 1 Comment
Today the Federal Reserve held its first rate decision under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
The FOMC voted 12–0 to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75%, and the real story turned out to be exactly where we expected: not the number, as it was widely anticipated there would be no change to rates, but how Warsh ran the meeting and what he said afterward.
